Nazem Kadri is killing it.
If you live on the East Coast and like to sleep at a reasonable time, that might be news to you. But after another multi-point performance last night, Kadri’s early-season performance has officially reached a point that cannot be ignored.
For Pete’s sake, this man is scoring 9 consecutive games and has 23 points in 15 games. This is a speed of 109 points in 82 games, which will definitely erase his career-high 61 points, and, perhaps more importantly, make him a big change in the open market.
Oh yes, Kadri was a free agent at the end of the year. That’s right, he did this during his 31-year-old contract year, which prepared him for the last chance to truly fulfill his long-term contract at his peak.
Talk about time.
Look, Kadri is unlikely to become a 100-point player after spending 12 points in the 50-60 range this season. But this does not mean that he will make a major regression.
Cadri didn’t ride some unsustainable shooting bends. The former Ye Zi’s field goal percentage this season is 13.6%, only slightly higher than his career average of 11.3%, and also lower than his 15.2% in 2017-18, when he scored 32 goals. .
Of course, there may be a slight drop. Or it may just be that Kadri returned to normal after seeing his shooting percentage of only 6% in the 2021 season, and he still scored 11 goals in 56 games.
The specific usage of Kadri has not changed much. He is not supported by a favorable regional starter or asylum time. So far, Avalanche coach Jared Bednar has started Kadri in the offensive zone with a 55.1% shift rate, slightly lower than the 55.6% he saw last season. OZS%, roughly the same as his 52.9% recorded from 2018 to 2020.
In fact, even if the strength is comparable, this number has dropped significantly. In his 5v5 conversion, only 50% of Kadri started with the opponent, while his first two seasons in Colorado were 56.89% and 54.89%.
Kadri’s usage has not changed much. On the contrary, his ice time is already.
Compared with last season, Kadri’s workload has increased by nearly two minutes per night this season, which gives him an average TOI of 18:29. Naturally, when a player is used more, their output will follow. But Kadri’s explosion is not just because there are more canvases for painting. With the increase in workload, he has miraculously become more efficient than ever. In fact, he scored 4 points every 60 minutes in 2021, almost double the number of any campaign since 2013.
This is not a player who relies on assists or strong performance.
Most of Kadri’s assists this season are major. He has 2.5 major assists per 60 minutes, which dwarfs any of his previous assists at the NHL level, and his number of goals per 60 minutes is basically constant.
Not to mention, Kadri has maintained an efficient performance in all situations this season, 4 of his 6 goals are comparable, and 11 of his 17 assists. Although these numbers portray Kadri as an effective 5v5 player, they will not weaken his position as a powerful weapon, leading by 8 points in 15 games.
In short, Kadri’s offensive efficiency is higher than ever, and he spends more time on the ice than ever before. So far, this combination has produced some explosive results.
Therefore, although Kadri may not be able to reach the huge total points he currently achieves at his current speed, they are not completely unreasonable. None of his basic statistics indicate that he will fall into a dramatic collapse. Kadri is good, good. Like, really, really good.
This is the magic of the contract year.