FIFA’s proposal to host the World Cup every two years and the changes to the Club World Cup may cause major domestic football leagues and UEFA to lose approximately 8 billion euros in television broadcasting rights, match days and commercial agreements each season. (9 billion U.S. dollars). Report commissioned by the alliance.
More frequent international competitions, as well as more international club competitions, may lead to major changes in the national league, including a reduction in the number of teams participating in the competition, a shift from weekend competitions to weekday competitions, and a reduction in domestic competitions, the report, said.
The report was prepared by the consulting firm KPMG and FTI’s Delta Partners, and was prepared by ReutersIt is predicted that in addition to cutting club income, such a move will also undermine the audience’s interest in the game.
It said this would also reduce advertisers’ interest in domestic football and put pressure on players, resulting in a decline in the quality of the game.
Gianni Infantino, chairman of the football world governing body, said last month that FIFA is discussing hosting the World Cup every two years instead of the current four-year event.
Arsenal’s former manager and head of FIFA’s global development, Wenger, proposed a new schedule that will reduce the break time for international qualifiers and extend one or two breaks to shorten the qualifying process.
He suggested that the World Cup be held next year, during which intercontinental championships such as the European Cup and the America’s Cup will be held. He also called for mandatory rest periods to avoid exhaustion of players.
However, this idea has been strongly opposed by UEFA, which runs the very popular and lucrative Champions League, as well as national leagues such as Italy’s Serie A, Spain’s La Liga and England’s Premier League, which have a global presence. Huge followers.
UEFA President Alexander Severin argued that the more the World Cup is held, the value of the World Cup will be diluted and damage other events. He threatened to lead Europe to boycott additional World Cups.
Wenger said in a speech in September: “So far, club football is 80% and national team football is 20%. I want to maintain this balance.”
FIFA did not respond Reuters Solicit comments, but it has previously promised to conduct its own feasibility study.
The report also covers Major League Soccer, Mexico, Japan and South Africa, as well as the Big Five in Europe. The report said that even the most destructive option would cost billions of dollars each year.
The biggest blow will be TV revenue.
According to calculations, the 40 largest domestic leagues in the world and UEFA club competitions such as the UEFA Champions League lose up to 5 billion euros per season in audio-visual transactions alone—more than one-third of today’s league television rights revenue.
The study estimates that due to the reduction in the number of matches, the league will lose more than 1 billion euros of visual rights each year, 1.75 billion euros are lost due to the shortened schedule, and an additional 901 million euros for weekend matches are transferred to midweek.
The study predicts that the total audiovisual copyright revenue generated by the alliance will fall from more than 14 billion euros to approximately 9 billion euros.
François Godard, senior analyst at Enders Analytics, said that hosting the biennial World Cup would be very risky.
“My concern is that demand will collapse at some point. If you weaken the main product (the national league), the risk of a sudden sharp drop is huge,” he told Reuters.
“If the World Cup is held every two years, you will switch to this new model. The game must be moved from the weekend to the midweek. Your entire season will be shorter, and some players may not be able to play at some point, so your The core product will be weakened.”
According to the report, business losses will be as high as 2.16 billion US dollars per season, a drop of about 25%. The negative impact on match-day income will cause the club to lose 1.2 billion euros, a drop of about 25% again.
It uses various scenarios. But in all leagues, starting from the 2024-25 season, they will be forced to reduce to 18 teams and complete their season at the beginning of May, in line with FIFA’s plan. It is not clear how many matches may be cancelled.
Forum and La Liga MX chairman Enrique Bonilla said that the report will be presented at the World League Forum annual meeting next week.
“These plans are for leagues, clubs and players,” Bonilla said.
The 2018 World Cup generated 5.37 billion U.S. dollars in revenue for FIFA.
The total revenue of the UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League and UEFA League in the 2021/22 season and the UEFA Super Cup in 2021 is estimated at 3.5 billion euros.